When do World Series tickets go on sale

Gary S. Simon wrote:
> In article <f4mrhu$8c3$1@geraldo.cc.utexas.edu>,
> User Name <heitmann.DeleteThis@math.utexas.edu> wrote:
>
>
>>Only 111 games to go until the 62 year streak is broken.
>
>
>
> Make it 61; 1994 shouldn't count.
>
>
>
>
>>The Cubs may only project to 82-80 currently
>
>
>
> How does a club with a losing record project to a winning record?


The Cubs have scored 27 more runs than they have given up over 62 games.
Assuming nothing changes, they should score about 43.5 runs more than
they yield over the rest of the season. The Pythagorean formula
translates that into a 54-46 WL record.

So far, the Cubs have done badly in close games - with a 28-34 record
compared to a Pythagorean projection of 34-28. The Pythagorean model
attributes this to luck and suggests that, while there is no reason
that the Cubs will get those six games back (things don't even out),
there is also no reason why they will continue to underperform.

ray heitmann
 >> Stay informed about: When do World Series tickets go on sale 

"User Name" <heitmann.TakeThisOut@math.utexas.edu> wrote in message
news:f4n4im$bkv$1@geraldo.cc.utexas.edu...
> Gary S. Simon wrote:
>> In article <f4mrhu$8c3$1@geraldo.cc.utexas.edu>,
>> User Name <heitmann.TakeThisOut@math.utexas.edu> wrote:
>>
>>
>>>Only 111 games to go until the 62 year streak is broken.
>>
>>
>>
>> Make it 61; 1994 shouldn't count.
>>
>>
>>
>>>The Cubs may only project to 82-80 currently
>>
>>
>>
>> How does a club with a losing record project to a winning record?
>
>
> The Cubs have scored 27 more runs than they have given up over 62 games.
> Assuming nothing changes, they should score about 43.5 runs more than
> they yield over the rest of the season. The Pythagorean formula
> translates that into a 54-46 WL record.
>
> So far, the Cubs have done badly in close games - with a 28-34 record
> compared to a Pythagorean projection of 34-28. The Pythagorean model
> attributes this to luck and suggests that, while there is no reason
> that the Cubs will get those six games back (things don't even out),
> there is also no reason why they will continue to underperform.

Sure there is. They're the Cubs.

AJM
 >> Stay informed about: When do World Series tickets go on sale 

On Jun 12, 2:18 pm, User Name <heitm....RemoveThis@math.utexas.edu> wrote:
> Only 111 games to go until the 62 year streak is broken. I don't
> want to be over-confident so I'm not predicting a winner yet.
>
> The Cubs may only project to 82-80 currently, but it all seems
> inevitable.

As disappointing as the Cubs have been this year, they're still only
5.5 games behind, in second place in the Central division.
 >> Stay informed about: When do World Series tickets go on sale