Tale of the Tape: CO vs. AZ

"A" <aaaac RemoveThis @hot.net> wrote in message
news:13golcj31inec12@corp.supernews.com...
> x-no-archive: yes
>
> http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20071009&content_id=2259120&vk...ps2007n
>
> 2007 regular season statistics
>
> COL Category ARZ
>
> .280 AVG .250
>
> .354 OBP .321
>
> .276 RISP BA .249
>
> 860 RUNS 712
>
> 171 HR 171
>
> 100 SB 109
>
> 31 CS 24
>
> .989 Fielding% .983
>
> 68 Errors 108
>
> 4.32 ERA 4.13
>
> 3.85 Bullpen ERA 3.95
>
> 39 Saves 51
>
> 19 Blown Saves 15
>
> 90 Wins 90
>
> 19 One-run wins 32

Since "park effect" influences a team's offensive numbers, I thought I'd
compare them using their road numbers which should be a better metric since
it should dampen the effect of any one ballpark to increase or decrease
offense.

Col Category Ariz
..261 Avg. .241
..336 OBP .309
382 Runs 326
68 HR 80
55 SB 58
13 CS 6
(couldn't find w/RISP, errors, or FPct with Home/Road splits)

4.29 ERA 4.17
(couldn't find bullpen ERA with H/R splits)
21 Saves 23
19 Bl.Sv 3
39 Wins 40
(couldn't find 1-run wins with H/R splits)
1.36 WHIP 1.38 (tossed this one in to make up for the ones I couldn't find)

Colorado still has a bit of overall offensive advantage, though not as
pronounced without the Coors effect factored in.
On the road, Arizona actually has the edge in HR's and SB.

The pitching looks pretty closely matched.

Overall, I'd probably give Colorado a slight edge. Though they do need to
avoid making pitching mistakes, as the Arizona hitters appear to have more
power in a neutral situation.

Should be an exciting series.