NL West Situation Board

Greetings to the Padre and Dodgers groups:

Before the start of the season. the Squint-Eyed men in Las Vegas posted
something called "Futures" for the 2007 baseball races.

They estimate how many games each MLB team will win, and invite the
Suckers (I mean the public) to bet which clubs will exceed, or fall short,
of the projected wins number.

So, let's compare what Odds-makers Projected for the NL West back in
March, with what has actually happened so far.

Basically, the Dodgers are doing about as expected, the Padres, Rocks
and Snakes better than Vegas thought, while the SF Giants are the # 1
disappointment:


=============================================================
Vegas PREDICTED ACTUAL The
Win Percentage win percentage Difference
=============================================================

Dodgers .562 .551 - .011
Padres .512 .563 + .051
D-Backs .479 .522 + .043
Giants .488 .442 - .046
Rockies .466 .500 + .034



Let's convert these figures into GAMES.... the number of wins forecast in March
2007 vs. the number of Wins if each team maintains its current win percentage
the rest of the 2007 year:


=============================================================
Vegas PREDICTED All Star break The
total Wins projected wins Difference
=============================================================

Dodgers 91 89 - 2
Padres 83 91 + 8
D-Backs 77 84 + 7
Giants 79 72 - 7
Rockies 75 81 + 6


We're talking the Expectations game here... and so far Bud Black is looking
good in San Diego, Bruce Bochy is shaking his head in the Bay area, and
Grady Little is holding his own in LA.


Hoover

On 7/9/07 10:06 PM, in article eo46939ghe5om10958jq368pg447qffc3c RemoveThis @4ax.com,
"Hoover" <Hoover RemoveThis @cst.com> wrote:

> Greetings to the Padre and Dodgers groups:
>
> Before the start of the season. the Squint-Eyed men in Las Vegas posted
> something called "Futures" for the 2007 baseball races.
>

>
> Let's convert these figures into GAMES.... the number of wins forecast in
> March
> 2007 vs. the number of Wins if each team maintains its current win percentage
> the rest of the 2007 year:
>
>
> =============================================================
> Vegas PREDICTED All Star break
> The
> total Wins projected wins
> Difference
> =============================================================
>
> Dodgers 91 89
> - 2
> Padres 83 91
> + 8
> D-Backs 77 84
> + 7
> Giants 79 72
> - 7
> Rockies 75 81
> + 6
>
>


Hoover. Thanks for that info. What jumps out at me is the
predicted/projected wins needed to take the division, standing firm at 91.
I'm always amazed at the remarkable of the Vegas number crunchers. They
should be running the Pentagon.

hh