Has anyone tried this?
1. Narrowing the Field
In researching and forecasting player performance, we know that there
are factors that can make a player a high risk to perform according to
expectation. He may be too old or too inexperienced. He may be coming
off an injury. He may have recently switched teams, or league, or
roles. All these factors contribute to elevating a player's forecast
risk.
In HTD, we create our own draftable player pool by eliminating high
risk players. Now, you may certainly end up missing out on some
potential jewels this way, but that will happen anyway in a normal
draft. In eliminating high-risk players, you can maximize the effort
you expend to acquire players with more upside.
Here are the guidelines for creating your own HTD player pool. Fill
your pool only with players who meet all of the following criteria:
Must be between the ages of 25 and 34
Must not be coming off an injury of any kind
Must not have changed teams, unless he is still in the same league and
in the same role
Batters must have a batting eye ratio (BB/K) of 0.50 or greater
Pitchers must have a command ratio (K/BB) of 1.75 or greater
Must not be a pitcher on the Rockies
Players who are valued at $20 or more must contribute in a minimum of
three categories
This set of criteria significantly reduces the size of the talent pool
and also helps to focus attention away from the massive influx of over-
hyped rookies each year. While many of us would ache to have prime
prospects on our teams, the risk to own unproven commodities thrust
into high-profile roles is just too great. They may have great years,
but there are better ways to spend your money.
By narrowing the field, we can more easily focus our attention on the
one most important pre-draft task that most owners fail to address...
If so, how'd you do?
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